Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 1.819646 2.073262 2.348942 2.670807 3.036255 3.438280 3.914118
2025-10-05 1.508346 1.874085 2.306339 2.854671 3.531698 4.340347 5.379975
2025-10-12 1.275428 1.682530 2.192295 2.877073 3.772847 4.905043 6.445761
2025-10-19 1.142524 1.583166 2.161702 2.976210 4.093264 5.571959 7.679831
2025-10-26 1.002106 1.449470 2.061604 2.959399 4.242407 6.010458 8.634600
2025-11-02 0.892477 1.341602 1.979352 2.949673 4.388407 6.443709 9.606352
2025-11-09 0.789644 1.229744 1.876287 2.893640 4.453934 6.757527 10.421299
2025-11-16 0.726138 1.168424 1.838910 2.927234 4.649224 7.269942 11.566986
2025-11-23 0.672119 1.115151 1.806820 2.962672 4.845635 7.793878 12.767532
2025-11-30 0.615310 1.050961 1.750320 2.951657 4.963458 8.199118 13.806463
2025-12-07 0.557735 0.979354 1.674393 2.900051 5.007203 8.483874 14.665028
2025-12-14 0.506282 0.912844 1.600282 2.843307 5.034585 8.739232 15.488437
2025-12-21 0.455924 0.846700 1.526418 2.790347 5.081654 9.062019 16.513394
2025-12-28 0.447210 0.855016 1.584378 2.978425 5.575990 10.210239 19.120299
2026-01-04 0.415350 0.816767 1.554304 3.001968 5.772015 10.842850 20.846792
2026-01-11 0.397458 0.802829 1.566981 3.105354 6.124275 11.787643 23.237632
2026-01-18 0.366322 0.759543 1.519557 3.087822 6.242052 12.301901 24.848989
2026-01-25 0.339296 0.721518 1.478337 3.077677 6.371715 12.847288 26.566943
2026-02-01 0.309899 0.675445 1.416478 3.019239 6.397518 13.188847 27.902824
2026-02-08 0.292696 0.653239 1.400843 3.054275 6.617556 13.936101 30.136068
2026-02-15 0.277117 0.632879 1.386956 3.091235 6.844102 14.714188 32.501380
2026-02-22 0.258616 0.604111 1.352362 3.079747 6.964593 15.279115 34.457292
2026-03-01 0.238311 0.569153 1.300961 3.025925 6.986400 15.633683 35.981228